Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 18

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ivajlo Stadion (Veliko Tarnovo)


	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo		Sportist Svoge

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.9
	1.81	3.45	3.7
	1.57	3.77	5.37	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.72	3.48	4.33
	1.85	3.33	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	4.16 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
51.5%

Draw
26.7%

Sportist Svoge
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo's form might have worsened.

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportist Svoge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sportist Svoge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Etar (votes: 1 - 50%). Svoge (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Videnov N. (G) 4. Aleksandrov G. 17. Atanasov A. 16. Ivanov G. 7. Ivanov R. 77. Nikolov M. 3. Pemperski A. 27. Stoyanchov S. 25. Tsvetkov C. 9. Ushagelov T. 28. Vasilev V.	33. Debarliev P. (G) 20. Balakov M. 21. Bastunov A. 23. Bua 87. Georgiev I. 16. Georgiev S. 73. Monteiro K. 79. Moore L. 88. Samba L. 22. Todorov A. 11. Yuri Sousa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
65', 🟨,
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etar won 0.

In recent matches, Etar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Svoge is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Svoge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Etar is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Etar won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Etar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.11.25	Ludogorets II - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Marek Dupnitsa	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Chernomorets Burgas	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLTT
- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Sportist Svoge	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Burgas	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.07.25	Sportist Svoge - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1
19.04.25	Sportist Svoge - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1
19.10.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sportist Svoge	1:1
10.03.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sportist Svoge	1:2
13.08.22	Sportist Svoge - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0
02.04.22	Sportist Svoge - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1
17.09.21	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Sportist Svoge	4:0

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