Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Sozopol		Montana

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.86	3.36
	1.6	3.88	4.9	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (3.33)	3.88 ↑ (2.91)	3.47 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sozopol
45.6%

Draw
25.7%

Montana
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

31%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

31%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sozopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sozopol's performance.

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sozopol than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sozopol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Sozopol - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sozopol will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Montana will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sozopol: 62.5% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sozopol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sozopol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sozopol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sozopol
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.04.23	Botev Plovdiv II - Sozopol	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sozopol - Krumovgrad	1:1 ✺
14.04.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Sozopol	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Sozopol - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
31.03.23	Yantra Gabrovo - Sozopol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTLWW
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.04.23	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Dunav Ruse - Montana	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Montana - Lovech	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Spartak Pleven - Montana	0:1 ✺
31.03.23	Montana - Strumska Slava Radomir	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.10.22	Montana - Sozopol	4:1
10.04.22	Montana - Sozopol	3:2
02.10.21	Sozopol - Montana	1:0
20.10.17	Sozopol - Montana	0:5

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