Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)


	Montana		Maritsa Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.43	3.98	6.11
	1.44	4.21	6.71	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.05 ↓ (4.28)	6.16 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
62.7%

Draw
22.5%

Maritsa Plovdiv
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

14%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Maritsa Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Simeonov V. (G) 20. Bemanga K. 4. Borisov N. 14. Burov D. (C) 9. Ejike P. 18. Iliev K. 11. Kirilov S. 15. Kostov B. 13. Rusinov I. 10. Todorov A. 24. Yanchev E.	33. Nachev P. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 5. Avramov D. 19. Gaziev M. 23. James S. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. (C) 77. Popov S. 13. Tanchev M. 4. Tasholov A. 18. Trifonov G.
Substitutes
7. Asparuhov A. 8. Atanasov P. 5. Dinev D. 22. Kamenov S. 16. Taskov K. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 12. Veskov Y. (G)	11. Aliev O. 8. Bakalov D. 24. David I. 15. Dimitrov H. 17. Domovchiyski V. 86. Nikolov I. (G) 28. Shterev S. 90. Sirakov S. 22. Yordanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 🟨,
55', 4 - 0, ⚽,
86', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montana won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Montana is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Montana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Montana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Montana - Belasitsa Petrich	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Bdin Vidin - Montana	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Montana - Chernomorets Burgas	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Montana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWTL
- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Strumska Slava Radomir	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dunav Ruse - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.10.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Montana	1:2
29.04.23	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:1
29.09.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Montana	1:0
05.12.21	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:1
30.07.21	Maritsa Plovdiv - Montana	4:1
24.02.18	Maritsa Plovdiv - Montana	1:0
07.08.17	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:1

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