Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 28

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spaeri Stadium (Tbilisi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Khorava J. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	19:00	Sport TV


	Spaeri		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.30	2.35
	2.55	3.20	2.40	Watch
	2.70	3.55	2.43
	2.61	3.48	2.4	Watch
	2.60	3.65	2.25
	2.60	3.53	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.02)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spaeri
35.2%

Draw
26.5%

Torpedo Kutaisi
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spaeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spaeri's performance.

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spaeri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Putkaradze B. (C) 22. Chagunava N. 3. Kachibaia L. 31. Bunturi G. 14. Samkharadze G. 10. Tsetskhladze T. 6. Askurava T. 26. Jibril B. 19. Tsirdava G. 7. Gegiadze S. 17. Kokhreidze L.	1. Goshadze O. (G) 15. Kuprava L. 22. Bukia D. 4. Simic M. 20. Skorup D. 8. Itrak M. 7. Mamuchashvili V. (C) 11. Arabidze G. 14. Felipe Pires 39. Pinson V. 9. Andric K.
Substitutes
30. Basilashvili Z. 23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 4. Grigalashvili G. 25. Injgia R. 20. Kentchadze N. 8. Maisuradze S. 13. Mathenjwa S. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 9. Tsetskhladze G.	35. Deisadze D. 25. Gergedava G. 13. Katkov G. 38. Kopaliani S. (G) 24. Latsabidze L. 17. Lominadze N. 5. Nadaraia T. 19. Pertaia D. 40. Shulaia A.
Coaches
Kighuradze A.	Schuster D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Kokhreidze L. ⚽,
27', Askurava T. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Andric K. ⚽, Pinson V. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Andric K. ⚽, Arabidze G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Jibril B. ↓, Golubiani Z. ↑,
61', Chagunava N. ↓, Mathenjwa S. ↑,
64', Kuprava L. ↓, Latsabidze L. ↑,
67', Tsetskhladze T. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
68', Simic M. 🟨,
72', Andric K. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
72', Skorup D. ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
80', Pinson V. ↓, Nadaraia T. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Golubiani Z. ⚽,
88', Deisadze D. 🟨,
90+6', Tsetskhladze G. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 3, Arabidze G. ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 3, Tsirdava G. ⚽,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Spaeri (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Torpedo Kutaisi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Torpedo Kutaisi is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 0.7:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spaeri against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	30	9	10	11	48:41	7	37
9	Spaeri	30	5	12	13	38:49	-11	27

Last Results with these Odds

Spaeri - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 29.94%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Torpedo Kutaisi - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
21.09.26	Spaeri - Dila Gori	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Spaeri	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Spaeri - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Spaeri	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Dinamo Batumi - Spaeri	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
20.09.26	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:2 ✺
14.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.06.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Spaeri	0:0
01.05.26	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1
28.02.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Spaeri	1:2
Georgian Super Cup
27.06.25	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 penalties
Georgian Cup
07.09.23	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:2
14.09.22	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1

Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi