Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 3
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Mexico	Claro Sports
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 5
World	Eurosport 5, Max


	Spain W		Colombia W

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	12
	1.18	7.25	14
	1.16	6.5	17
	1.18	7.27	15.66
	1.19	7.04	15.03	Watch
	1.19	7.3	14	Watch
	1.16	6.5	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.38)	6.98 ↑ (4.81)	14.96 ↑ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Football Women with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Spain W
80.2%

Draw
13.5%

Colombia W
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.3%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spain W's performance.

Colombia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colombia W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Spain W - Colombia W Predictions

Users Predictions: Spain W will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Coll C. (G) Barcelona 2. Batlle O. Barcelona 4. Paredes I. Barcelona 14. Aleixandri L. Manchester City 18. Carmona O. Real Madrid 12. Guijarro P. Barcelona 6. Bonmati A. Barcelona 11. Putellas A. Barcelona 7. del Castillo A. Real Madrid 9. Paralluelo S. Barcelona 8. Caldentey M. Arsenal	12. Tapia K. (G) Palmeiras 17. Arias C. America de Cali 3. Arias D. Corinthians 16. Carabali J. Brighton 2. Vanegas M. Real Sociedad 8. Restrepo M. Atl. Nacional 11. Usme C. Pachuca 7. Pavi M. Dep. Cali 10. Santos L. Atl. Madrid 18. Caicedo L. Real Madrid 9. Ramirez M. Chelsea
Substitutes
3. Abelleira T. Real Madrid 16. Codina L. Arsenal 17. Garcia L. Monterrey 10. Hermoso J. U.A.N.L.- Tigres 1. Misa (G) Real Madrid 15. Navarro E. Real Madrid 21. Redondo A. Real Madrid	14. Baron A. Atl. Nacional 4. Caracas D. Espanyol 13. Izquierdo I. 5. Minota Y. Pachuca 6. Montoya D. Atl. Nacional 15. Salazar L. Millonarios 22. Sepulveda S. (G) Llaneros
Coaches
Montserrat T.	Marsiglia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Aleixandri L. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Ramirez M. ⚽, Santos L. (A),
30', Arias D. 🟨,
45+2', Pavi M. ↓, Izquierdo I. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Guijarro P. ↓, Abelleira T. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Santos L. ⚽,
65', Carmona O. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
65', Putellas A. ↓, Hermoso J. ↑,
66', Caicedo L. ↓, Montoya D. ↑,
78', del Castillo A. ↓, Navarro E. ↑,
78', Aleixandri L. ↓, Codina L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Hermoso J. ⚽, Paralluelo S. (A),
86', Ramirez M. ↓, Salazar L. ↑,
86', Santos L. ↓, Caracas D. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Paredes I. ⚽, Paralluelo S. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Usme C. (Pen),
1, Caldentey M. (Pen),
2, Vanegas M. (Pen),
2, Navarro E. (Pen),
3, Salazar L. (Pen),
3, Paralluelo S. (Pen),
4, Carabali J. (Pen),
4, Bonmati A. (Pen),

Preview

Spain is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Spain is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain W
Olympic Games - Football Women
31.07.24	Brazil W - Spain W	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Spain W - Nigeria W	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Spain W - Japan W	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.24	Spain W - Belgium W	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	Czech Republic W - Spain W	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL
- Colombia W
Olympic Games - Football Women
31.07.24	Colombia W - Canada W	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	New Zealand W - Colombia W	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	France W - Colombia W	3:2 ✺
Friendly International Women
13.07.24	Colombia W - Ecuador W	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Venezuela W - Colombia W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW

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