Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Welch R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2
Europe	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2, Free
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Eurosport 1, FuboTV, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 5
Usa	FuboTV, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
World	Eurosport 5, Max


	Brazil W		Spain W

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.55
	6.25	3.6	1.58
	6	3.75	1.57
	7.09	3.9	1.57
	6	3.82	1.61	Watch
	6.3	3.84	1.59	Watch
	6	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.31 ↑ (4.69)	3.79 ↑ (3.33)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Football Women with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Brazil W
15%

Draw
25%

Spain W
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

28.2%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	8%	72%

Brazil W - Spain W Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Brazil will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Spain will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lorena (G) Gremio 15. Thais Costa Adeje Tenerife 21. Lauren Leal Kansas City Current 3. Tarciane Houston Dash 14. Ludmila 20. Angelina (C) Orlando Pride 8. Yaya Corinthians 13. Yasmim Corinthians 19. Priscila 18. Gabi Portilho Corinthians 11. Jheniffer Corinthians	13. Coll C. (G) Barcelona 2. Batlle O. Barcelona 4. Paredes I. (C) Barcelona 16. Codina L. Arsenal 18. Carmona O. Real Madrid 3. Abelleira T. Real Madrid 6. Bonmati A. Barcelona 10. Hermoso J. U.A.N.L.- Tigres 15. Navarro E. Real Madrid 9. Paralluelo S. Barcelona 8. Caldentey M. Arsenal
Substitutes
9. Adriana Orlando Pride 5. Duda Sampaio Corinthians 16. Gabi Nunes Levante 7. Kerolin North Carolina Courage 22. Luciana (G) Ferroviaria 10. Marta Orlando Pride 17. Vitoria A. Atl. Madrid	14. Aleixandri L. Manchester City 7. del Castillo A. Real Madrid 17. Garcia L. Monterrey 12. Guijarro P. Barcelona 5. Hernandez O. Real Madrid 1. Misa (G) Real Madrid 11. Putellas A. Barcelona
Coaches
Ribas Elias A. J.	Montserrat T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Paredes I. (Own goal),
45+4', Abelleira T. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Gabi Portilho ⚽, Yasmim (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', Carmona O. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
47', Navarro E. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
52', Paredes I. ↓, Aleixandri L. ↑,
57', Ludmila ↓, Adriana ↑,
57', Angelina ↓, Duda Sampaio ↑,
67', Abelleira T. ↓, Guijarro P. ↑,
69', Jheniffer ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Adriana ⚽, Gabi Portilho (A),
73', Priscila ↓, Gabi Nunes ↑,
78', Lauren Leal ↓, Kerolin ↑,
78', Codina L. ↓, Putellas A. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Paralluelo S. ⚽, Hermoso J. (A),
90', Gabi Portilho 🟨,
90', Coll C. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 1, Kerolin ⚽,
90+8', Adriana 🟨,
90+12', 4 - 2, Paralluelo S. ⚽,

Preview

Spain in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Spain is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brazil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil W
Olympic Games - Football Women
03.08.24	France W - Brazil W	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Brazil W - Spain W	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Brazil W - Japan W	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Nigeria W - Brazil W	0:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
04.06.24	Brazil W - Jamaica W	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW
- Spain W
Olympic Games - Football Women
03.08.24	Spain W - Colombia W	3:2 penalties ✺
31.07.24	Brazil W - Spain W	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Spain W - Nigeria W	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Spain W - Japan W	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.24	Spain W - Belgium W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Football Women
31.07.24	Brazil W - Spain W	0:2
Friendly International Women
07.04.22	Spain W - Brazil W	1:1
05.04.19	Spain W - Brazil W	2:1
10.06.17	Spain W - Brazil W	1:2
FIFA World Cup Women
13.06.15	Brazil W - Spain W	1:0

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