The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spakenburg 50.9%
Draw 23%
Kozakken Boys 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
24%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
23.5%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spakenburg's performance.
Kozakken Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kozakken Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spakenburg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Spakenburg - Kozakken Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Houweling J. (G) 16. Kok O. 3. Apau M. 44. Guiting J. 5. Green D. 10. Kunst D. 15. van Lopik H. 8. van Huffel S. 22. van Mil K. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 7. El Azzouti A.
1. ten Hove R. (G) 20. den Besten D. 23. Giebels J. 6. Sas T. 2. Keukens F. 3. Hop S. 24. Damen G. 12. Stout G. (C) 7. Hassan M. 9. Thomassen J. 17. Jalloh S.
Substitutes
60. Beune S. 4. Claver C. 1. Heus M. (G) 11. Junte R. 81. Linthorst T. 27. Puriel J. 17. van Dieren K.
11. Bouyaghlafen O. 10. El Khayati N. 25. Klaver R. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 15. Soetens S. 8. Timan D. 22. van Houwelingen C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, El Azzouti A. ⚽, van Mil K. (A),
32', 2 - 0, van der Linden F. ⚽, Green D. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Stout G. ⚽,
41', Jalloh S. 🟨,
42', 3 - 1, van der Linden F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 3 - 2, Thomassen J. ⚽,
62', Kok O. ↓, Claver C. ↑,
62', El Azzouti A. ↓, Junte R. ↑,
67', 3 - 3, Damen G. ⚽, Thomassen J. (A),
70', Kunst D. ↓, Linthorst T. ↑,
75', Keukens F. 🟨,
79', den Besten D. ↓, Timan D. ↑,
81', Jalloh S. ↓, El Khayati N. ↑,
82', van Lopik H. ↓, Puriel J. ↑,
90', El Khayati N. 🟨,
90+2', Hassan M. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 4, Damen G. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 3.
Spakenburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kozakken Boys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Spakenburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 2.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Spakenburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
Watch
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Houweling J. (G) 
Green D. 
Hassan M. 
Puriel J. 
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