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Current Win Probability
Katwijk 38.7%
Draw 24.1%
Kozakken Boys 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
23.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
24.6%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katwijk's form might have worsened.
Kozakken Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kozakken Boys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kozakken Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Katwijk - Kozakken Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Michaelis M. (G) 25. Toure C. 4. Maatsen D. (C) 5. Warmerdam D. 14. van der Veldt K. 22. Brenna M. 16. van Wageningen D. 7. Korte G. 17. Tiebosch G. 10. Suleiman M. 9. van Duinen M.
1. ten Hove R. (G) 20. den Besten D. 6. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 17. Pedro D. 12. Stout G. (C) 3. Hop S. 24. Damen G. 21. Deurloo Z. 9. Versluis D. 15. van den Berg M.
Substitutes
37. Aissaoui L. 26. Bakker J. 24. el Moussaoui I. 8. Janmaat F. 11. Jesse M. 15. Sinteur B. 41. van Bladeren S. (G)
7. Hassan M. 11. Jalloh S. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 19. Lommers J. 14. Maletic M. 18. Taytay Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Versluis D. ⚽,
37', Hop S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Damen G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', van Duinen M. ↓, el Moussaoui I. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, el Moussaoui I. ⚽, Tiebosch G. (A),
52', Toure C. ↓, Sinteur B. ↑,
60', Hop S. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
64', Versluis D. ↓, Lommers J. ↑,
64', van den Berg M. ↓, Jalloh S. ↑,
69', Tiebosch G. ↓, Janmaat F. ↑,
76', Suleiman M. ↓, Jesse M. ↑,
77', Deurloo Z. 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Sas T. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 4, Jalloh S. ⚽, Deurloo Z. (A),
90+5', 1 - 5, Damen G. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Katwijk won 3.
In recent outings, Katwijk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kozakken Boys is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Katwijk has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:21 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Katwijk against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Kozakken Boys
8
5
2
1
23:12
11
17
9
Katwijk
8
3
2
3
11:13
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Katwijk - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Michaelis M. (G) 
Suleiman M. 
el Moussaoui I. 
Hassan M. 
Maletic M. 
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