The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spalding United 66.1%
Draw 20%
Stourbridge 13.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.6%
20%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
20.6%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Spalding United - Stourbridge Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Pavey C. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, White L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 2 - 1, Fowkes B. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Taroni J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 16).
Spalding has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stourbridge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Spalding is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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