Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Sparta Katowice		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.48	3.6	2.35
	2.63	3.54	2.36	Watch
	2.49	3.52	2.36	Watch
	2.5	3.65	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.4)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Katowice
36.1%

Draw
25.4%

Lechia Zielona Góra
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-3%)

Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielona Góra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Sparta Katowice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Zielona Góra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sparta Katowice - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Sparta Katowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Sparta Katowice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTW
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWT

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