Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 12

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)


	Spartak Kostroma		Rodina Moscow 2

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.95	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	3.95 ↓ (4.05)	7.6 ↑ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
65%

Draw
23%

Rodina Moscow 2
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Spartak Kostroma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rodina Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Spartak Kostroma - Rodina Moscow 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 69. Chursin K. 18. Ignatiev M. 78. Kiselev G. 62. Kovalevskiy E. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 55. Saplinov A. 4. Supranovich N. 56. Viktor Demyanov 5. Zhilmostnykh D.	31. Shakerov R. (G) 33. Agaev A. 82. Alekhin A. 93. Antonov I. 95. Chernyshev D. 39. Kamyshenko A. 15. Kochiev K. 66. Larionov E. 89. Maltsev R. 76. Pridava N. 48. Shilov D.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 50. Faizullin D. 40. Genchu N. 14. Kaptilovich D. 80. Khorin A. A. 10. Korolkov K. 24. Kudryashov I. 91. Kulikov A. 31. Roland J. (G) 26. Smirnov D. 7. Zhironkin V.	25. Basyrov S. 97. Danilov T. 29. Garibyan A. 57. Kopylov R. 5. Mushkarin D. 98. Pavlov N. (G) 94. Slivin A. 73. Truntaev E. Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Sadov D. 🟨,
30', Kamyshenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Antonov I. ↓, Slivin A. ↑,
46', Kamyshenko A. ↓, Garibyan A. ↑,
63', Sadov D. ↓, Khorin A. A. ↑,
63', Kovalevskiy E. ↓, Faizullin D. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Saplinov A. ⚽,
73', Maltsev R. 🟨,
77', Viktor Demyanov ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
83', Larionov E. ↓, Basyrov S. ↑,
89', Chursin K. ↓, Kudryashov I. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Faizullin D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Spartak Kostroma is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rodina 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Spartak Kostroma will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
04.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Spartak Kostroma - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Veles Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volgar Astrakhan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWW
- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
04.05.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Torpedo Miass	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
23.03.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Spartak Kostroma	2:1

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