Match Info

FNL - Round 12

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Spartak Kostroma		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.39	4.54
	1.91	3.36	4.42	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	4.35 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
49.8%

Draw
28.5%

Volga Ulyanovsk
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Volga Ulyanovsk aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartak Kostroma will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Spartak Kostroma (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Korets N. (G) 7. Bokov D. 23. Chikanchi M. 35. Enin I. 18. Ignatiev M. 17. Kalachev I. 22. Nemchenko A. 8. Sadov D. 55. Saplinov A. 4. Supranovich N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.	86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 28. Novikov D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 29. Shagiakhmetov R. 10. Uridia G. 37. Voronin E.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 56. Demyanov V. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 99. Gharibyan A. 80. Khorin A. A. 78. Kiselev G. 24. Kudryashov I. 66. Makarenko Y. 11. Nazarenko E. 85. Puchkov S. 57. Tlekhugov M.	17. Gershun I. 77. Gutsa A. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 92. Kasyanov I. 1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 99. Kostin A. 82. Larionov K. 91. Molodtsov A. 7. Murza A. 87. Pshennikov E. 27. Umnikov M. 14. Yakovlev V.
Coaches
Bondar S.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Uridia G. ⚽,
25', Kalachev I. 🟨,
37', Shagiakhmetov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kalachev I. ↓, Kiselev G. ↑,
52', Kiselev G. 🟨,
54', Krasilnichenko O. 🟨,
61', Khabibullin A. 🟨,
67', Ignatiev M. 🟨,
68', Nemchenko A. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
70', Rudenko V. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
70', Voronin E. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
80', Chikanchi M. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
80', Uridia G. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
80', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
84', Bokov D. ↓, Puchkov S. ↑,
84', Enin I. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
84', Novikov D. ↓, Kostin A. ↑,
90', Shaykhutdinov V. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Gharibyan A. ⚽,
90+4', Supranovich N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Spartak Kostroma is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Kostroma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian Cup
25.09.25	KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Spartak Kostroma	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Ural	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWWT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:4 ✺
12.09.25	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
04.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
16.03.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.03.24	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
23.09.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:0
30.07.23	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:2

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