Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Kostroma		Ufa

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.45	5.86
	1.69	3.35	5.75
	1.67	3.45	5.52	Watch
	1.59	3.40	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.41 ↓ (3.63)	5.53 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
55.9%

Draw
27.3%

Ufa
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Spartak Kostroma - Ufa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Spartak Kostroma will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (G) 17. Kaptilovich D. 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 2. Tarasov N. 6. Mokhammad A. 47. Tarasov A. 22. Nemchenko A. 8. Demchenko N. 10. Karaev D. 3. Bugriev S. (C) 90. Kalmykov A.	31. Belenov A. (C) 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 5. Kutin D. 14. Agapov I. 17. Ozmanov D. 79. Troyanov K. 6. Tarba Z. 88. Ageyan M. 8. Isaev S. 11. Yakuev M. 70. Ortiz D.
Substitutes
70. Chervyakov R. 69. Chursin K. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 11. Ghurtskaia D. 18. Kamilov V. 73. Kirakosyan D. 24. Krakhmalev E. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I.	23. Akhatov D. 7. Davlitgereev A. 99. Evdokimov A. 10. Gongadze G. 69. Khanenko I. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 9. Lipovoy D. 48. Lukyanov A.
Coaches
Ashikhmin A.	Tetradze O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Troyanov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Demchenko N. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
55', Kutin D. 🟨,
61', Kalmykov A. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Ageyan M. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
65', Isaev S. 🟨,
74', Nemchenko A. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
78', Tarasov A. 🟨,
78', Karaev D. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
80', Ozmanov D. ↓, Lukyanov A. ↑,
80', Troyanov K. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
81', Kamilov V. 🟨,
83', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
88', Mohammadi N. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 10).

Spartak Kostroma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ufa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spartak Kostroma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is the team to beat.

We predict that Spartak Kostroma will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Ufa: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
09.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTWW
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Ufa	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Ufa - Leningradets	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.05.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	0:1
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0

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