Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Moldovan V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	SKA Khabarovsk		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	4.31	3.25	2.01
	4.20	3.20	1.96
	3.98	3.24	1.96	Watch
	3.60	3.05	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.87)	3.19 ↑ (3.09)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
23.2%

Draw
29.3%

Spartak Kostroma
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

30.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

28.5%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Kostroma will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Botnar V. (G) 91. Noskov E. 29. Mukhin A. 37. Chirkov M. 3. Pliev K. (C) 5. Bliev E. 19. Vshivkov V. 24. Gorelishvili M. 20. Shkolik I. 7. Motpan N. 50. Glotov S.	50. Shamov E. (G) 2. Tarasov N. (C) 21. Bugarin M. 47. Tarasov A. 17. Kaptilovich D. 22. Nemchenko A. 69. Chursin K. 73. Kirakosyan D. 82. Nikiforenko O. 10. Karaev D. 90. Kalmykov A.
Substitutes
9. Alcalde J. 10. Aliev K. 6. Bagiev S. 63. Borisov D. 11. Bragin V. 84. Grebenkin Y. 8. Markitesov D. 4. Shavlokhov D. 1. Shtepa M. (G) 61. Uzhgin M. 13. Yanov D.	3. Bugriev S. 70. Chervyakov R. 8. Demchenko N. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 18. Kamilov V. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 6. Mokhammad A. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Coaches
Semenov M.	Berezovsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kirakosyan D. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
46', Nikiforenko O. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Gorelishvili M. ⚽,
60', Glotov S. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
67', Chursin K. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
67', Tarasov A. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
70', Shkolik I. ↓, Aliev K. ↑,
70', Motpan N. ↓, Bagiev S. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Bugriev S. ⚽,
79', Noskov E. ↓, Uzhgin M. ↑,
79', Gorelishvili M. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Bugriev S. ⚽,
88', Vshivkov V. 🟨,
90', Pliev K. 🟥,

Preview

SKA Khabarovsk is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spartak Kostroma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SKA Khabarovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA Khabarovsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Spartak Kostroma will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% SKA Khabarovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
18	SKA Khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
02.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Ural	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
20.07.26	Rotor - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
01.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0
24.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2

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