Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion (Subotica)

Referee: Trifkovic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Spartak Subotica		Partizan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.44	Watch
	5.9	4.35	1.45
	30.00	15.71	1.02	Watch
	5.64	4.87	1.46
	6.8	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.77 ↑ (4.55)	6.67 ↑ (4.05)	1.37 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Subotica
9.6%

Draw
15.4%

Partizan
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

22.6%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.1%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Subotica's form might have worsened.

Partizan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Partizan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Subotica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Partizan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Spartak Subotica - Partizan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Partizan will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partizan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vulic A. (G) 28. Bilingi Y. 19. Milunovic N. 16. Kolaric D. (C) 2. Sekulic B. 6. Ebuka 27. Leo Antonio 21. Babic I. 22. Cejic U. 70. Tomovic S. 90. Pavkovic D.	1. Milosevic M. (G) 24. Djurdjevic V. 44. Milic S. 40. Simic N. 4. Jurcevic M. 28. Karabelyov Y. 19. Seck D. 6. Dragojevic V. (C) 11. Vukotic M. 99. Kostic B. 7. Milosevic J.
Substitutes
5. Besic M. 12. Dulic M. (G) 49. Krsmanovic N. 44. Mehmedovic E. 20. Osei K. B. 77. Ramirez B. 7. Stojanovic S. 15. Subotic L. 50. Tasic N. 17. Trajkovic A.	90. Alilovic Z. 70. Jankovic D. 42. Jovanovic D. 9. Kostic A. 31. Krunic M. (G) 5. Milovanovic M. 10. Natcho B. 2. Stojkovic A. 36. Ugresic O. 21. Vasiljevic I. 29. Zahid G.
Coaches
Djordjevic D.	Blagojevic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Simic N. ⚽, Vukotic M. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Milosevic J. ⚽, Jurcevic M. (A),
42', Pavkovic D. ↓, Osei K. B. ↑,
43', Kolaric D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
55', Ebuka ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
59', Milosevic J. 🟨,
64', 0 - 3, Jurcevic M. ⚽,
64', Kostic B. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
64', Dragojevic V. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Tomovic S. (Pen),
71', 1 - 4, Vukotic M. ⚽,
75', Jurcevic M. ↓, Stojkovic A. ↑,
75', Milosevic J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
78', 2 - 4, Osei K. B. ⚽,
80', Babic I. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
80', Sekulic B. ↓, Subotic L. ↑,
90', Vukotic M. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
90', 2 - 5, Kostic A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 1.

Spartak Subotica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Partizan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Partizan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Partizan is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Subotica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga
31.08.25	Železničar Pančevo - Spartak Subotica	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Spartak Subotica - Novi Pazar	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Čukarički - Spartak Subotica	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Spartak Subotica - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTL
- FK Partizan
Serbian Superliga
30.08.25	Partizan - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Radnički Niš - Partizan	2:2 ✺
18.08.25	Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Hibernian - Partizan	2:3 ET ✺
Serbian Superliga
10.08.25	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
01.02.25	Partizan - Spartak Subotica	2:2
12.12.24	Spartak Subotica - Partizan	2:1
30.03.24	Partizan - Spartak Subotica	1:0
20.10.23	Spartak Subotica - Partizan	0:3
19.02.23	Spartak Subotica - Partizan	1:2
10.11.22	Partizan - Spartak Subotica	0:1
06.03.22	Spartak Subotica - Partizan	0:1

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