Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)


	Spartak Trnava		Hartberg

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.75	3.5
	1.85	4	3.4
	1.82	3.9	3.2
	1.8	4.11	3.42
	1.7	4	3.5
	1.82	4.25	3.76	Watch
	1.85	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.51)	4 ↓ (4.8)	3.45 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
50.7%

Draw
22.8%

Hartberg
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

19.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

19.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Trnava's form might have worsened.

Hartberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Trnava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Trnava is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartberg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trnava is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trnava won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Tipsport Malta Cup
15.01.24	Hradec Králové - Spartak Trnava	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Spartak Trnava - Austria Wien	2:3 ✺
10.01.24	Sigma Olomouc - Spartak Trnava	2:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
17.12.23	Spartak Trnava - Zemplín Michalovce	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Fenerbahçe - Spartak Trnava	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- TSV Hartberg
Club Friendly
24.01.24	Admira - Hartberg	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	DAC Dunajská Streda - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
17.01.24	St. Pölten - Hartberg	3:3 ✺
13.01.24	Hartberg - Deutschlandsberger	5:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
10.12.23	Hartberg - Wolfsberger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.02.23	Hartberg - Spartak Trnava	0:3
05.02.19	Hartberg - Spartak Trnava	1:1

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