Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Csonka B. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	STVR Sport
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Spartak Trnava		Häcken

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.55	3.7	1.88	Watch
	3.61	3.73	1.96
				Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.65	3.74	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.28)	3.57 ↑ (3.27)	1.98 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
26.6%

Draw
26.2%

Häcken
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Trnava's form might have worsened.

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Häcken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Trnava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Häcken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	28.9%	50%

Spartak Trnava - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Häcken will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Häcken (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Trnava (8.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Häcken will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Trnava (votes: 4 - 25%). Häcken (votes: 12 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frelih Z. (G) 4. Holik L. 24. Kostrna K. 2. Nwadike P. 27. Tomic M. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 14. Kratochvil M. 29. Mikovic M. 23. Daniel E. 57. Duris M. 11. Azango P.	99. Berisha E. (G) 44. Hilvenius H. 8. Andersen S. 4. Lode M. 21. Lundkvist A. 10. Rygaard M. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 29. Nioule S. 16. Dahbo P. 7. Ngabo S. 19. Dembe J.
Substitutes
88. Badolo C. 18. Gong H. 3. Jureskin R. 21. Karhan P. 19. Kudlicka T. 28. Moistsrapishvili G. 17. Paur J. 52. Sabo E. 7. Skrbo S. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G) 41. Vasil P. (G)	39. Brusberg I. 17. Engdahl B. 9. Hrstic S. 32. Jansson O. (G) 13. Jansson S. 24. Layouni A. 15. Leach S. 11. Lindberg J. 1. Linde A. (G) 20. Svanback A. 22. Zecevic N.
Coaches
Scasny M.	Gustafsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Lundkvist A. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
37', Kratochvil M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ngabo S. ↓, Layouni A. ↑,
49', Frelih Z. 🟨,
49', Andersen S. 🟨,
59', Duris M. 🟨,
60', Dahbo P. ↓, Svanback A. ↑,
60', Dembe J. ↓, Hrstic S. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Nioule S. ⚽,
71', Tomic M. ↓, Ujlaky M. ↑,
71', Daniel E. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
74', Rygaard M. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
79', Azango P. ↓, Kudlicka T. ↑,
83', Mikovic M. 🟨,
86', Holik L. ↓, Gong H. ↑,
86', Duris M. ↓, Skrbo S. ↑,
88', Ujlaky M. 🟨,
90+3', Hilvenius H. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Trnava has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Trnava - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Club Friendly
03.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Borac Banja Luka	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Karviná	1:3 ✺
18.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
17.05.25	Spartak Trnava - Podbrezová	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.25	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Häcken - GAIS	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.06.25	Häcken - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.06.25	Malmö - Häcken	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLWLW

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