Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Spartak Trnava		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73
	4.33	3.7	1.68
	4.3	4	1.75	Watch
	4.76	3.92	1.75
	4.77	3.92	1.75
	3.9	3.8	1.8
	4.5	3.98	1.7
	4.3	3.95	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↑ (3.75)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
21.4%

Draw
24.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Spartak Trnava - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takac D. (G) 24. Kostrna K. (C) 2. Stetina L. 26. Kosa S. 23. Daniel E. 25. Bainovic F. 80. Zeljkovic A. 28. Bukata M. 97. Ofori K. 57. Duris M. 11. Azango P.	1. Padt S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 26. Sundberg N. 24. Verdon O. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. 8. Goncalves C. 77. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 37. Tekpetey B.
Substitutes
27. Bernat J. 7. Djuricin M. 4. Gorosito N. 5. Kompan M. 29. Mikovic M. 20. Oseni A. 17. Paur J. 6. Prochazka R. 18. Sulek M. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G)	11. Chouiar M. 88. Nedelev T. 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 22. Russo F. 99. Rwan Seco 12. Sluga S. (G) 17. Son 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 64. Yankov D.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Dermendzhiev G.

Preview

Trnava in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ludogorets is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Trnava have a series of guest games.

In this match Ludogorets is a favorite.

There will not play in Trnava: Djuric A. (Ankle Injury) Gorosito N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Oseni A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Almeida D. (Knee Injury) Gropper D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Trnava: Bernat J. (Muscle Injury) Bolaji K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kamenar L. (Shoulder Injury) Rusov D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ludogorets: Yordanov I. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
26.11.23	Podbrezová - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	MFK Košice - Spartak Trnava	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Nordsjælland - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
04.11.23	Spartak Trnava - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:0 ✺
Slovak Cup
01.11.23	Považská Bystrica - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWTWW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.11.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Sofia	2:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
22.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.11.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Fenerbahçe	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.11.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Trnava	4:0

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