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Current Win Probability
Spartans 37.7%
Draw 25.1%
Montrose 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.1%
22.7%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
21.1%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartans's form might have worsened.
Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montrose's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montrose, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartans - Montrose Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Stewart H. ⚽, Taylor D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Taylor D. ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, McLaren J. ⚽, Ogilvie F. (A),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 3.
In recent outings, Spartans has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Montrose is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartans is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Spartans has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:11 (averaging 2.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartans against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).