Match Info

BRAZIL: Paraibano 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Spartax João Pessoa		Picuiense

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.16	2.25
	2.67	3.41	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2)	3.26 ↓ (3.6)	2.34 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartax João Pessoa
34%

Draw
27.6%

Picuiense
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

25.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartax João Pessoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartax João Pessoa's form might have worsened.

Picuiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Picuiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartax João Pessoa than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartax João Pessoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picuiense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Picuiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartax João Pessoa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano 2
19.09.24	Queimadense - Spartax João Pessoa	3:4 ✺
16.09.24	Spartax João Pessoa - Esporte de Patos	0:1 ✺
12.09.24	Spartax João Pessoa - Picuiense	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Auto Esporte - Spartax João Pessoa	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Guarabira - Spartax João Pessoa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLT
- AD Picuiense
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano 2
18.09.24	Picuiense - Sport Lagoa Seca	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Spartax João Pessoa - Picuiense	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Esporte de Patos - Picuiense	4:1 ✺
02.09.24	Picuiense - Confiança PB	3:2 ✺
28.08.24	Picuiense - Auto Esporte	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano 2
12.09.24	Spartax João Pessoa - Picuiense	0:1
21.09.23	Spartax João Pessoa - Picuiense	0:0

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