The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spezia U19 69%
Draw 18.9%
Crotone U19 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.1%
20%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70%
19.5%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Crotone U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia U19 than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone U19 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Spezia U19 - Crotone U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟥,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Primavera 2 (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia U19 won 3.
Spezia U19 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Crotone U19 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Crotone U19 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Spezia U19 is the clear favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Spezia U19 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia U19 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).