Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Spišské Podhradie		Vranov nad Topľou

	1	X	2
	4.12	4.04	1.6
	3.99	3.93	1.70	Watch
	3.6	3.78	1.8
	4.26	3.9	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 (3.99)	3.91 ↓ (3.93)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spišské Podhradie
22.8%

Draw
23.3%

Vranov nad Topľou
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.3%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

20.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spišské Podhradie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Vranov nad Topľou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spišské Podhradie than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vranov nad Topľou than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vranov nad Topľou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spišské Podhradie - Vranov nad Topľou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spišské Podhradie won 0.

Spišské Podhradie is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vranov nad Topľou has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spišské Podhradie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vranov nad Topľou is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spišské Podhradie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spišské Podhradie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MŠK Spišské Podhradie
Slovak 3 Liga East
12.10.25	Snina - Spišské Podhradie	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Spišské Podhradie - FK Humenné	1:5 ✺
27.09.25	Slovan Sabinov - Spišské Podhradie	6:1 ✺
21.09.25	Spišské Podhradie - Kežmarok	2:2 ✺
Slovak Cup
14.09.25	Spišské Podhradie - MFK Košice	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- MFK Vranov nad Topľou
Slovak 3 Liga East
11.10.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Lokomotíva Košice	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Odeva Lipany - Vranov nad Topľou	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Poprad	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Tesla Stropkov - Vranov nad Topľou	4:2 ✺
06.09.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Spišská Nová Ves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga East
08.09.24	Spišské Podhradie - Vranov nad Topľou	1:3
31.03.24	Spišské Podhradie - Vranov nad Topľou	0:2
02.09.23	Vranov nad Topľou - Spišské Podhradie	7:1
Slovak 4 Liga East
18.06.22	Spišské Podhradie - Vranov nad Topľou	0:0
30.10.21	Vranov nad Topľou - Spišské Podhradie	4:0
01.08.20	Vranov nad Topľou - Spišské Podhradie	2:1

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