Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Spinea		Ambrosiana

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Spinea
37.2%

Draw
29.5%

Ambrosiana
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

32.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

22.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ambrosiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spinea than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spinea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrosiana than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ambrosiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Spinea is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ambrosiana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spinea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spinea 1966
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.12.21	Campodarsego - Spinea	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Spinea - Montebelluna	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Este - Spinea	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Spinea - Union Clodiense	2:4 ✺
21.11.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Spinea	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLL
- GSD Ambrosiana
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.12.21	Ambrosiana - Cjarlins Muzane	0:4 ✺
08.12.21	Mestre - Ambrosiana	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Ambrosiana - Caldiero Terme	1:4 ✺
28.11.21	Delta Porto Tolle - Ambrosiana	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Ambrosiana - Cartigliano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LWLWL

Spinea - Ambrosiana