Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Spinea		Cartigliano

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.35	3.05	1.99
	4.2	3.1	1.81
	3.5	2.9	2
	3.58	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)	3.08 ↑ (2.92)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spinea
24.9%

Draw
29.2%

Cartigliano
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.1%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.7%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cartigliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spinea than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spinea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartigliano than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartigliano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spinea - Cartigliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 9).

Spinea is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cartigliano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spinea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cartigliano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spinea 1966
Italian Serie D - Group C
22.12.21	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Spinea	3:0 ✺
19.12.21	Spinea - Ambrosiana	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Campodarsego - Spinea	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Spinea - Montebelluna	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Este - Spinea	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTT
- ASD Cartigliano
Italian Serie D - Group C
30.01.22	Cattolica San Marino - Cartigliano	0:2 ✺
22.12.21	Cartigliano - Luparense	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Mestre - Cartigliano	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Cartigliano - Delta Porto Tolle	2:2 ✺
08.12.21	Cjarlins Muzane - Cartigliano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLTL

Spinea - Cartigliano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Spinea - Cartigliano Predictions

Preview

Form

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