Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 25

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		09 Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4
	1.73	4.02	4.01
	1.74	4.03	4.01
	1.69	3.84	4.1
	1.7	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	3.88 ↓ (3.9)	4.02 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
53.6%

Draw
23.6%

09 Dortmund
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

23.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

23.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

09 Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 09 Dortmund than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kallenbach T. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Elezi F. (Pen),
37', 2 - 1, Thaqi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Recent matches SF Lotte is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

09 Dortmund is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match SF Lotte is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SF Lotte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams SF Lotte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Oberliga Westfalen
24.03.24	Vreden - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Finnentrop Bamenohl	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gievenbeck - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Türkspor Dortmund	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Eintracht Rheine - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TWTLL
- ASC 09 Dortmund
German Oberliga Westfalen
24.03.24	09 Dortmund - Preußen Münster 2	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	TSG Sprockhövel - 09 Dortmund	3:5 ✺
10.03.24	09 Dortmund - Siegen	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	09 Dortmund - SG Wattenscheid	4:1 ✺
16.02.24	Brünninghausen - 09 Dortmund	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
30.09.23	09 Dortmund - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:2
10.04.23	09 Dortmund - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:2
16.10.22	Sportfreunde Lotte - 09 Dortmund	0:2

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