Match Info

Date: 1 October 2021, Friday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.75	3.2	2.41
	2.83	3.27	2.47
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.79	3.4	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.51)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	2.53 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
34.8%

Draw
28.8%

Alemannia Aachen
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

20.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportfreunde Lotte - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aachen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sportfreunde Lotte won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportfreunde Lotte won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
25.09.21	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0 ✺
04.09.21	Lippstadt 08 - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schalke 04 II	2:0 ✺
25.08.21	Preußen Münster - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Homberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
25.09.21	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Bonner - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
15.09.21	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
10.09.21	Alemannia Aachen - Wiedenbrück	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Uerdingen - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
08.05.21	Alemannia Aachen - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:3
25.11.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Alemannia Aachen	1:0
30.11.19	Alemannia Aachen - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:1
21.05.16	Sportfreunde Lotte - Alemannia Aachen	1:0
05.12.15	Alemannia Aachen - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0
01.03.15	Sportfreunde Lotte - Alemannia Aachen	2:2
08.09.14	Alemannia Aachen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1

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