Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 26

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Bocholt

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.65	2
	3.22	3.85	2
	3.16	3.75	1.99
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.21	3.48	1.99
	2.55	3.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2.06 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
30%

Draw
25.4%

Bocholt
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportfreunde Lotte's form might have worsened.

Bocholt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bocholt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bocholt than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bocholt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Kurzen P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 1, Kerkemeyer L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

In recent matches, SF Lotte has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bocholt has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SF Lotte is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, SF Lotte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bocholt	11	3	4	4	24:26	-2	13
18	Lotte	11	0	3	8	7:22	-15	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sportfreunde Lotte - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
24.04.26	Gütersloh - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schalke 04 II	2:5 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- 1. FC Bocholt
German Regionalliga West
26.04.26	Bocholt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bochum II - Bocholt	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bocholt - Rödinghausen	0:4 ✺
08.04.26	Wiedenbrück - Bocholt	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Wuppertal - Bocholt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
20.09.25	Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:1
11.04.25	Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:4
19.10.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	4:1

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