Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Rot-Weiß Oberhausen

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.75	2.08
	3.15	3.7	2.05
	3.07	3.81	2.01
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	2.94	3.66	2.05
	2.91	3.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	3.65 ↓ (3.71)	2.05 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
30.3%

Draw
25%

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

24.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.4%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Rot-Weiß Oberhausen aligns with the current prediction.

Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot Weiß Oberhausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kesim T. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 0.

SF Lotte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oberhausen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oberhausen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oberhausen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SF Lotte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Oberhausen	11	9	1	1	28:9	19	28
18	Lotte	11	0	3	8	7:22	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
15.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schalke 04 II	2:5 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bochum II	2:2 ✺
27.03.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rödinghausen	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Wuppertal - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWT
- Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
German Regionalliga West
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Siegen	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Paderborn II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Wiedenbrück	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Schalke 04 II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
08.02.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
07.09.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:4
30.03.22	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:0
27.10.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2
20.03.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:0
21.10.20	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:1

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