Match Info

Liga Women - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	America TV GO, America TV, Juntos


	Sporting Cristal		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.60	1.92
	2.96	3.5	2.08
	3.05	3.6	2.03	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.01
	3.04	3.54	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.4)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
30.3%

Draw
25.4%

Alianza Lima
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.5%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 0.

Sporting Cristal has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Alianza Lima is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Alianza Lima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Alianza Lima is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:21 (averaging 0.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting Cristal against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 1:9 goals (averaging 0.2:1.8 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima W	10	10	0	0	33:2	31	30
4	Sporting Cristal W	10	7	0	3	24:10	14	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal Women
Peruvian Liga Women
13.09.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Cristal - UNSAAC	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Killas - Sporting Cristal	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Andahuaylas	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Flamengo FBC - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Alianza Lima Women
Peruvian Liga Women
06.09.26	Alianza Lima - Atlético Andahuaylas	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	UNSAAC - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Flamengo FBC - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Alianza Lima - Defensores del Ilucán	10:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga Women
30.05.26	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:0
31.08.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	0:1
15.06.25	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	2:0
11.06.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	0:1
01.05.25	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:1
18.08.24	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	2:1
10.08.24	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	0:0

Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide