Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Sporting Ideal		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	2.95	3.05
	2.21	3	3.05
	2.34	3.25	3.24
	2.27	3.14	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 (2.24)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Ideal
40.8%

Draw
29.6%

Fabril do Barreiro
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

20.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Ideal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fabril do Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Ideal than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Ideal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabril do Barreiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sporting Ideal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fabril do Barreiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Ideal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sporting Ideal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Ideal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Ideal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Sporting Ideal	2:0 ✺
20.03.21	Sporting Ideal - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Sporting Ideal - Montijo	4:0 ✺
10.03.21	Rabo de Peixe - Sporting Ideal	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Belenenses B - Sporting Ideal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLL
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Montijo - Fabril do Barreiro	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Fontinhas - Fabril do Barreiro	4:1 ✺
28.02.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.02.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Sporting Ideal	1:0

Sporting Ideal - Fabril do Barreiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide