Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Sporting Ideal		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.5
	5.8	3.6	1.45
	6	3.6	1.5
	5.81	3.72	1.63
	5.6	3.98	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (5.95)	3.73 ↓ (3.9)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Ideal
15.6%

Draw
24.4%

Estrela da Amadora
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

23.4%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

19.2%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Ideal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Ideal than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sporting Ideal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estrela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Ideal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Ideal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.03.21	Sporting Ideal - Montijo	4:0 ✺
10.03.21	Rabo de Peixe - Sporting Ideal	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Belenenses B - Sporting Ideal	4:1 ✺
21.02.21	Praiense - Sporting Ideal	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Sporting Ideal - Rabo de Peixe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL
- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.03.21	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Montijo - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
28.02.21	Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses B	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Oriental Dragon - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Praiense - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.10.20	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Ideal	3:0

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