Match Info

UEFA Europa Cup Women - Qualification - Final

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Rosengård

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.4	6.4
	1.41	5.67	5.4
	1.45	4.46	5.95	Watch
	1.43	4.86	5.63
	1.44	4.5	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.76)	4.98 ↑ (4)	5.81 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
65.4%

Draw
18.6%

Rosengård
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

22.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

21.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Rosengård has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosengård might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosengård than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosengård could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Rosengård Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rosengård (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rosengård (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Potra C. (G) 6. Eaton-Collins G. 41. Barron A. 4. Cancelinha E. 15. Bea 17. Claudia Neto 11. Perez B. (C) 14. Arques D. 12. Haugen M. 42. Correia M. 13. Santiago C.	43. Andersson S. (G) 11. Johansson M. 6. Pikkujamsa E. 44. Cronquist J. (C) 5. Hartikainen A. 16. Pelgander E. 30. Oyama A. 10. Tryggvadottir I. 23. Pobegaylo A. 50. Sjostrom F. 24. Imo A.
Substitutes
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 20. Armengol C. 19. Bonsegundo F. 24. Bose R. 26. Cherry M. 8. Fontemanha R. 2. Hernandez J. 21. Lino S. 71. Maia C. 27. Nave M. 18. Raphino B. 33. Wozniak J. (G)	9. Andersson H. 18. Ayinde H. 45. Bjorklund T. 12. Dautovic-Rix A. (G) 8. Jansson E. 19. Johansson M. 14. Larsson E. 13. Murphy S. (G) 2. Sorbo T. 20. Stojanovska M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Haugen M. ⚽,
41', Cronquist J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Oyama A. ↓, Bjorklund T. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Santiago C. ⚽, Bea (A),
61', Tryggvadottir I. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
61', Sjostrom F. ↓, Sorbo T. ↑,
69', Pelgander E. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
69', Johansson M. ↓, Jansson E. ↑,
74', Claudia Neto ↓, Lino S. ↑,
74', Correia M. ↓, Bonsegundo F. ↑,
74', Santiago C. ↓, Raphino B. ↑,
84', Bea ↓, Armengol C. ↑,
87', Barron A. 🟨,
90+3', Larsson E. 🟨,
90+4', Arques D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Bonsegundo F. ⚽, Raphino B. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rosengård has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sporting is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
04.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Damaiense - Sporting Lisbon	0:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Roma	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Roma - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLW
- FC Rosengård Women
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
04.10.25	Malmö - Rosengård	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Rosengård - Brommapojkarna	2:5 ✺
21.09.25	Häcken - Rosengård	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rosengård - AIK	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Vittsjö - Rosengård	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Sporting Lisbon - Rosengård: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide