Match Info

Date: 7 February 2022, Monday


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Belenenses U23

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.19	3.15	2.8
	2.23	3.26	3.11
	2.16	3.52	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.38)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)	3.01 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
42.3%

Draw
27.6%

Belenenses U23
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

20.3%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Belenenses U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses U23 than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belenenses U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sporting U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sporting U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sporting U23 won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting U23 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
01.02.22	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:0 ✺
27.01.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Vizela U23	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Maritimo U23	0:0 ✺
15.01.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Académica Coimbra U23	4:3 ✺
11.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTWL
- Belenenses U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
01.02.22	Belenenses U23 - Académica Coimbra U23	5:2 ✺
22.01.22	Belenenses U23 - Famalicão U23	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Belenenses U23	3:0 ✺
15.01.22	Belenenses U23 - Maritimo U23	1:1 ✺
09.01.22	Vizela U23 - Belenenses U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
07.11.21	Belenenses U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	3:0
28.08.21	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Belenenses U23	5:2
07.12.20	Belenenses U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:1
28.09.20	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Belenenses U23	2:1
11.01.20	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Belenenses U23	1:1
28.09.19	Belenenses U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:2
22.01.19	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Belenenses U23	2:1

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