Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Championship Group - Round 10

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sporting TV


	Famalicão U23		Sporting Lisbon U23

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.45
	1.93	3.73	3.62
	1.93	3.79	3.48	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.3
	1.89	3.48	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.94)	3.54 ↓ (3.79)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão U23
47.8%

Draw
25.8%

Sporting Lisbon U23
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

24.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Famalicão U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão U23 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Ribeiro R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 1, Abubakar U. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Taca Revelacao U23 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão U23 won 1.

Famalicão U23 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sporting U23 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Famalicão U23 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Famalicão U23 will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Famalicão U23 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP U23	7	4	3	0	15:9	6	15
13	Famalicao U23	7	2	2	3	13:15	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Famalicão U23 - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.82%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Famalicão U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.03.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Famalicão U23 - Santa Clara U23	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Famalicão U23 - Benfica U23	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Famalicão U23 - Braga U23	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWW
- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.03.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Académico de Viseu U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leixões U23	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Benfica U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.03.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	0:2
08.04.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	1:1
28.01.25	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1
05.03.24	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:3
16.01.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	0:0
21.03.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	2:5
01.02.22	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:0

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