Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Ecuador	DSports 9
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DSports 9
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Sporting de Gijón		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.25
	1.65	3.55	5.3
	1.7	3.66	5.61
	1.60	3.76	5.83	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.5
	1.67	3.58	5.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	5.51 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
56.9%

Draw
26.2%

Leonesa
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	5.7%	2.9%

Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC, 2nd Half - Sporting de Gijón (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Sporting de Gijón (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.16% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 14. Corredera A. 6. Martin N. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 19. Otero J. (C) 18. Coundoul A.	13. Badia E. (G) 5. Fornos Q. 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 24. Garcia V. 28. Ojeda T. 14. Bicho 33. Larios J. 10. Chacon L. 7. Collado D. 18. Paraschiv D.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 7. Campos G. 23. Curbelo E. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 21. Loum M. 34. Mancha J. 32. Prendes E. O. 11. Queipo D. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.	1. Banuz M. (G) 29. Choco A. 23. Diallo Selu M. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 6. Maestre S. 2. Ortega G. 22. Pibe 26. Rafus A. (G) 4. Rodri Suarez 34. Sanchez J. 31. Toca N.
Coaches
Garitano A.	Llona R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Perrin L. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
58', Paraschiv D. ↓, Pibe ↑,
58', Collado D. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
61', Corredera A. 🟨,
63', Coundoul A. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
68', Dubasin J. 🟨,
73', Fornos Q. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
73', Bicho ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
75', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
75', Dubasin J. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
82', Garcia V. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
83', Martin N. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
83', Otero J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
86', Ojeda T. 🟨,
90+3', Campos G. 🟨,

Preview

Sporting de Gijón has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Leonesa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sporting de Gijón has had a series of home games.

Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Vazquez K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Sporting de Gijón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.25	Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Arenteiro	4:0 ✺
06.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
24.08.25	Leonesa - Almería	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Burgos - Leonesa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Real Avilés - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	3:2
05.08.23	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
01.08.18	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.18	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	4:0
10.10.17	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	0:2

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