Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Lugo		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.3	2.08
	1.69	3.74	4.40	Watch
	3.2	3.28	2.08	Watch
	3.2	3.28	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.35)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.54 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
33.4%

Draw
28.7%

Leonesa
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lugo - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (G) 8. Balboa A. 17. Caballo D. 5. Carbonell A. 7. Gonzalez J. 16. Jose Amo 23. Junior L. 20. Lopez I. 6. Nicholas N. 14. Presa K. 22. Samanes S.	13. Badia E. (G) 14. Bicho 27. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 30. Larios J. 28. Ojeda T. 2. Ortega G. 18. Paraschiv D. 22. Pibe 4. Rodri Suarez 20. Tresaco R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Samanes S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
59', Ojeda T. 🟨,
60', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
62', Presa K. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
62', Samanes S. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
64', 🟨,
68', Junior L. ↓, Reniero N. ↑,
68', Jose Amo ↓, Trigueros P. ↑,
68', Nicholas N. ↓, Garriz I. ↑,
68', Gonzalez J. ↓, Arao ↑,
77', 🟨,
87', Camala A. ↓, Freire A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1.

Leonesa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.

Leonesa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lugo - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.4%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Leonesa - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Sarriana - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.05.25	Amorebieta - Lugo	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Lugo - Zamora	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Lugo - Barcelona B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Real Avilés - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Real Oviedo - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Burgos - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Pontevedra - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.01.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:4
24.08.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0
31.03.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0
12.11.23	Lugo - Leonesa	0:3
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Leonesa - Lugo	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
13.05.18	Leonesa - Lugo	1:1
10.12.17	Lugo - Leonesa	3:1

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