Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov (Svoge)


	Sportist Svoge		Botev Plovdiv II

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.28	3.92
	1.82	3.38	4.12	Watch
	1.78	3.46	4.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	4.02 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
50.3%

Draw
27%

Botev Plovdiv II
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

23.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Botev Plovdiv II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportist Svoge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botev Plovdiv II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportist Svoge - Botev Plovdiv II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Damyanov D. (G) 8. Andreev Y. 21. Bastunov A. (C) 19. Beshev K. 99. Clifford J. 87. Danchev B. 16. Hristov K. 22. Ivanov G. 73. Pashov G. 6. Ramadan A. 11. Stefanov K.	1. Kajzer D. (G) 10. Bonev B. (C) 29. Kintuntu N. 4. Kushtinarov G. 7. Marinov B. 9. Pavlov K. 8. Piloyan E. 13. Sitev M. 5. Tatarov K. 3. Videv I. 20. Zlatanov G.
Substitutes
15. Kaleba T. 27. Krastanov A. 14. Kyosov E. 20. Madzharov G. 1. Silva D. (G) 7. Soares P. 23. Veselinski A.	18. Aivazov J. 19. Georgiev M. 16. Kokov D. 11. Kolev K. 21. Rusev D. (G) 17. Simeonov M. 15. Tonev D. 22. Vidolov V. 14. Yordanov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Svoge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Botev Plovdiv II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Svoge is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Svoge won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Svoge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Minyor Pernik - Sportist Svoge	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Sportist Svoge - Yantra Gabrovo	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Montana - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTLL
- Botev Plovdiv II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:5 ✺
22.09.24	Lovech - Botev Plovdiv II	3:1 ✺
16.09.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Botev Plovdiv II	2:1 ✺
02.09.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.02.23	Sportist Svoge - Botev Plovdiv II	1:0
25.07.22	Botev Plovdiv II - Sportist Svoge	1:1
11.04.22	Sportist Svoge - Botev Plovdiv II	0:0
03.10.21	Botev Plovdiv II - Sportist Svoge	0:1

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