Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov (Svoge)


	Sportist Svoge		Belasitsa Petrich

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.15
	1.85	3.26	4.06	Watch
	1.52	3.99	6.3	Watch
	1.72	3.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	3.47 ↑ (3.13)	4.96 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
54.9%

Draw
26.5%

Belasitsa Petrich
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportist Svoge's performance.

Belasitsa Petrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belasitsa Petrich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportist Svoge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasitsa Petrich than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belasitsa Petrich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Debarliev P. (G) 21. Bastunov A. 23. Bua 99. Dimitrov V. 87. Georgiev I. 16. Georgiev S. 18. Gogov V. 73. Monteiro K. 6. Moore L. 88. Samba L. 22. Todorov A.	1. Georgiev K. (G) 16. Ergin V. 88. Gamakov M. 99. Ivanov D. 18. Karakashev G. 19. Petrov H. 10. Smilkov A. 6. Todorski M. 77. Tonny 91. Yanev V. 5. Yaramov D.
Substitutes
7. Atanasov G. 19. Balakov M. 27. Dobrev T. 9. Gelin N. 14. Ivanov H. 17. Mitrov P. 1. Tanev I. (G) 10. Velinov Y. 11. Yuri Sousa	9. Ahisu P. O. 11. Bozhinov V. 90. Dimitrov Z. 12. Karparov A. (G) 14. Marchev I. 20. Vassilev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 🟨,
69', 🟥,
79', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 0.

Svoge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belasitsa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Belasitsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Svoge is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Svoge won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	CSKA Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	6:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT
- Belasitsa Petrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Belasitsa Petrich	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.04.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	0:0
22.09.24	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1
25.11.23	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1
15.07.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	3:1
20.03.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	3:0
20.08.22	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	0:2

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