Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Sportist Svoge		Chernomorets Balchik

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	7	Watch
	1.45	3.76	7.01	Watch
	1.66	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)	6.27 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
60.2%

Draw
25.3%

Chernomorets Balchik
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

18.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Chernomorets Balchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportist Svoge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Balchik than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Balchik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Balchik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vasilev I. (G) 21. Bastunov A. 27. Chatov S. 22. Chilikov P. 7. Feradov A. 73. Georgiev D. 87. Ivanov A. 99. N'Sonde J. 88. Samba L. 10. Semerdzhiev V. (C) 9. Zhivkov R.	30. Grigorov G. (G) 7. Buzon C. 10. Cardoso L. 20. Dimitrov G. 13. Fonkeu W. 6. Georgiev V. 11. Mitev S. 8. Neves A. 14. Radev G. (C) 17. Totev T. 18. Yankov N.
Substitutes
19. Beshev K. 14. Goshev I. (G) 23. Holder N. 8. Ivanov H. 17. Krastev M. 20. Madzharov G. 18. Mihov M. 79. Siromahov V. 11. Stefanov K.	1. Boyadzhiev S. (G) 33. Costa P. 12. Iliev R. 2. Ivanov P. 3. Minchev I. 23. Nakov A. 38. Tomov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Sportist Svoge is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chernomorets Balchik has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sportist Svoge is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sportist Svoge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.03.24	Montana - Sportist Svoge	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sportist Svoge - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLT
- Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.03.24	Chernomorets Balchik - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Spartak Pleven - Chernomorets Balchik	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Ludogorets II	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Lovech - Chernomorets Balchik	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Marek Dupnitsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
17.09.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Sportist Svoge	2:0

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