The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Sportivo Italiano 45.4%
Draw 32.5%
Deportivo Merlo 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
30.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
30.6%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 3. Daivez A. 7. De Cuadro J. 4. Di Massimo F. 8. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 2. Merzario E. 6. Ordonez C. (C) 5. Rivero J.
1. Tursi F. (C) 4. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 2. Barrientos L. 10. Benitez F. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Rios N. 8. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G) 16. Cenci B. 17. Centurion F. 14. Durante P. 13. Fantino L. 18. Guerra A. 19. Hirigoyen T. 20. Landaburu M. 15. Zurita A.
20. Cuenca C. 15. Figueredo L. 12. Figueroa T. (G) 19. Hernandez R. 14. Ojeda G. 17. Paez A. M. 16. Quinteros E. 18. Sandoval I. 13. Sineiro C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
39', Vallejo L. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Gimenez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Di Massimo F. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
48', (Penalty Awarded),
60', De Cuadro J. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
61', Rios N. ↓, Ojeda G. ↑,
70', Gimenez K. ↓, Guerra A. ↑,
74', Vallejo L. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
74', Maguicha D. ↓, Quinteros E. ↑,
75', Guzman M. ↓, Landaburu M. ↑,
82', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Ordonez C. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 3.
Sportivo Italiano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Merlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportivo Merlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sportivo Italiano could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1:0.3).