Match Info

Primera B - Round 4

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Real Pilar		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3	4.35	Watch
	1.85	2.98	4.74
	1.8	3.13	4.62	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.5
	1.89	3.05	4.72
	1.75	3.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	4.62 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
50%

Draw
30.2%

Deportivo Merlo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

29.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Real Pilar - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 10. Chambi L. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 4. Leguiza D. 8. Mancini V. 7. Martinez F. 9. Moran J. 5. Rojas M.	1. Tursi F. (G) 4. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 2. Barrientos L. 10. Benitez F. 11. Maguicha D. 3. Miguez L. 6. Minnicelli A. 7. Quinteros E. 5. Rios N. 8. Vallejo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Da Rosa J. E. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Crocco M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Benitez F. ⚽,
55', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
56', Mancini V. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
61', Blanco S. 🟨,
64', Aguerre F. 🟨,
65', Rojas M. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
69', Miguez L. 🟨,
75', Cesar J. 🟨,
78', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
79', Benitez F. ↓, Figueredo L. ↑,
82', Franco E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
82', Achucarro D. ↓, Abre F. ↑,
85', Moran J. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
85', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
85', Vallejo L. ↓, Sineiro C. ↑,
85', Hernandez R. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Maguicha D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Real Pilar is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.59%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
28.02.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Pilar - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Real Pilar - Acassuso	1:2 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLT
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
27.02.26	Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Deportivo Merlo - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.10.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Merlo	0:0
18.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
19.12.20	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	0:1
17.11.19	Real Pilar - Deportivo Merlo	2:0

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