Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Perrera (Las Parejas)


	Sportivo Las Parejas		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	2.08	2.78	3.7
	2.13	2.65	3.83
	2.87	2.23	3.60	Watch
	2.17	2.84	3.92
	1.72	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.67)	2.86 ↓ (3.35)	4.01 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Las Parejas
44.2%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo Rincón
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

28.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Las Parejas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Rincón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Las Parejas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (-5%)

Sportivo Las Parejas - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebora E. (G) 2. Arcando A. 7. Gayoso L. 9. Gonzalez I. 10. Hadad N. 6. Hernandez S. 8. Martinez A. 11. Oliveri T. 5. Perez M. 4. Taverna J. 3. Zanoni A.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 11. Avila C. 8. Carrasco D. 2. Chacon J. 4. Di Bello N. 3. Esteves C. 9. Jeldres S. 10. Miguel F. 5. Moreno F. 6. Osinaga A. 7. Pettineroli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
39', Pettineroli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Di Bello N. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Oliveri T. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sportivo Las Parejas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sportivo Las Parejas is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Boca Unidos - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Ben Hur	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLT
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo Rincón - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW

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