Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)


	Villa Mitre		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.37	3.8	8.6	Watch
	1.4	3.58	9.1
	1.52	3.59	7.28	Watch
	1.34	4.05	9.4
	1.51	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	7.73 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
63.8%

Draw
24.3%

Deportivo Rincón
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G)
4. Dauwalder F.
10. Gonzalez E.
3. Ihitz N.
7. Iriarte L.
5. Jouglard V.
11. Lopez M.
2. Manchafico V.
9. Peralta M.
8. Perez T.
6. Zadel D.
Substitutes
17. Algozino L.
13. Cepeda G.
18. Cerato L.
20. De Hoyos D.
12. Manganaro T. (G)
19. Monteverde J.
14. Moreno A.
16. Mujica P.
15. Valeri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Sanchez A. 🟨,
20', Perez T. ↓, Mujica P. ↑,
28', Zadel D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, De Hoyos D. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals))

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villa Mitre is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTTL
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.25	Deportivo Rincón - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Rincón - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Rincón	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.06.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0
26.04.25	Deportivo Rincón - Villa Mitre	0:2
07.07.24	Deportivo Rincón - Villa Mitre	1:1
11.05.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	2:0

Upcoming Matches