Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	St Albans City		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.08
	2.97	3.88	2.01
	2.88	3.93	2.06	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.05
	3.03	3.86	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.76)	3.73 ↑ (3.62)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
31.3%

Draw
24.4%

Folkestone Invicta
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

St Albans City - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Smart S. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, Lokko K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

St Albans is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Folkestone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St Albans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

St. Albans: 4.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	St. Albans	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

St Albans City - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Folkestone Invicta - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.03.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - St Albans City	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	St Albans City - Ramsgate	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Chichester City - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	St Albans City - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hashtag United - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWW
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.03.26	Folkestone Invicta - Carshalton Athletic	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Brentwood Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Folkestone Invicta - Dartford	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Billericay Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.08.25	Folkestone Invicta - St Albans City	2:1

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