Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 7

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	St Albans Dinamo		Port Melbourne Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.5
	1.77	3.85	3.65	Watch
	1.79	4.48	3.54	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.5
	1.71	4.15	3.67	Watch
	1.77	3.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.72)	4.01 ↑ (3.99)	3.75 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans Dinamo
52.6%

Draw
22.9%

Port Melbourne Sharks
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

22.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

17.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans Dinamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans Dinamo than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans Dinamo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Melbourne Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Gulevski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Divin J. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 0.

Recent matches St Albans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Port Melbourne is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Melbourne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St Albans is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:23 (average 0.7:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans Dinamo
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.25	Oakleigh Cannons - St Albans Dinamo	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	St Albans Dinamo - Avondale	1:4 ✺
03.03.25	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	St Albans Dinamo - Heidelberg United	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Altona Magic - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WLWLL
- Port Melbourne Sharks
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Oakleigh Cannons	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Avondale - Port Melbourne Sharks	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
18.05.24	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:5
10.02.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - St Albans Dinamo	0:0
07.07.23	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2
08.04.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - St Albans Dinamo	2:1
21.05.22	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:1
19.02.22	Port Melbourne Sharks - St Albans Dinamo	1:1
04.07.21	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:4

St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide