Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	St. Andrews		Marsa

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.62
	4.5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	3.91	3.51	1.67
	4.39	3.82	1.65
	4.2	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↓ (5.7)	3.73 ↓ (4.2)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
21.2%

Draw
24.1%

Marsa
54.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

17.8%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Andrews's performance.

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

St. Andrews is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marsa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently St. Andrews have a series of guest games.

In this match Marsa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches St. Andrews won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Andrews won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
21.01.24	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	St. Andrews - Tarxien Rainbows	0:3 ✺
17.12.23	Luqa St. Andrews - St. Andrews	2:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.12.23	Nadur Youngsters - St. Andrews	3:2 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
09.12.23	Żabbar St. Patrick - St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLTLL
- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
21.01.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
07.01.24	Marsa - Żurrieq	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Msida Saint-Joseph - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.12.23	Victoria Wanderers - Marsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
21.01.23	Marsa - St. Andrews	0:2
07.01.23	St. Andrews - Marsa	2:3
28.11.20	St. Andrews - Marsa	1:4

St. Andrews - Marsa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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