Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 14

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	St. Andrews		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2
	3.05	3.6	2.02	Watch
	2.87	3.69	2.06
	3.01	3.68	2.07
	2.9	3.94	2.08
	3.05	3.6	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (5.42)	3.69 ↑ (3.59)	2.04 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
30.7%

Draw
24.7%

Pietà Hotspurs
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

25.4%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Andrews's performance.

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietà Hotspurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Andrews that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pietà Hotspurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Pisani J. (G) 22. Akiti T. 4. Camilleri D. 10. Correa Duarte R. C. 20. Elizeu 21. England W. 17. Magro O. 2. McKay G. 15. Scicluna L. 8. Soares R. (C) 5. Vella A.	1. Cini R. (G) 99. Bio E. 2. Catania K. 4. Cutajar I. 25. Gatt I. 17. Leonardi K. 22. Leonardi Z. (C) 27. Mannino G. 31. Melillo T. 10. Micallef J. 18. Ueda H.
Substitutes
13. Brincat Winters E. 19. Camilleri J. 9. Elouni O. 6. Galea N. 16. Kiala N. R. 1. Mifsud S. (G) 11. Sultana N. 3. Tanti C. P. 18. Torreggiani T. C.	9. Arthur 13. Farrugia J. (G) 5. Ferriggi G. 16. Formston C. 8. Gatt L. 15. Kabar H. 29. Mangion Z. 3. Vella K. 7. Xuereb G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Leonardi K. ⚽,
31', Soares R. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Melillo T. ⚽,
45+5', Cutajar I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vella A. ↓, Galea N. ↑,
46', Magro O. ↓, Sultana N. ↑,
46', McKay G. ↓, Tanti C. P. ↑,
52', Elizeu 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Correa Duarte R. C. (Pen),
72', Gatt I. ↓, Kabar H. ↑,
76', Elizeu ↓, Kiala N. R. ↑,
78', Correa Duarte R. C. 🟨,
81', Camilleri D. 🟨,
82', 1 - 3, Leonardi K. (Pen),
82', England W. ↓, Brincat Winters E. ↑,
85', Leonardi K. ↓, Gatt L. ↑,
85', Ueda H. ↓, Arthur ↑,
90+1', Micallef J. ↓, Mangion Z. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Andrews won 3.

St. Andrews is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pietà Hotspurs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Pietà Hotspurs have a series of home games.

In this match Pietà Hotspurs is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches St. Andrews won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams St. Andrews won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
26.01.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	St. Andrews - Mtarfa	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - St. Andrews	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Gudja United - St. Andrews	4:2 ✺
14.12.24	St. Andrews - Valletta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLLLT
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
26.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:5 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
04.01.25	Swieqi United - Pietà Hotspurs	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
21.01.24	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	0:1
19.09.21	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	3:1
21.02.21	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	2:3
29.10.20	St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1
07.03.20	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	0:1
Maltese Premier League
07.04.19	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	3:1
10.11.18	St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs	3:3

St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide