Match Info

Challenge League - Round 10

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Marsa		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.8	Watch
	2.83	3.93	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.81	3.84	1.73
	2.75	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
28.1%

Draw
24.8%

St. Andrews
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

23.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

23.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Marsa - St. Andrews Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Davi Versiani ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Andrews is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

St. Andrews may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, St. Andrews is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.12.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Swieqi United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Marsa - Mġarr United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Marsa - Sirens	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLT
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	St. Andrews - Melita	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
30.11.25	St. Andrews - Sirens	0:4 ✺
23.11.25	Gudja United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
26.01.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	0:0
27.01.24	St. Andrews - Marsa	1:4
21.01.23	Marsa - St. Andrews	0:2
07.01.23	St. Andrews - Marsa	2:3
28.11.20	St. Andrews - Marsa	1:4

Marsa - St. Andrews: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide