Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	St. Gallen		Vaduz

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.5	4
	1.84	3.7	4
	1.88	3.6	3.8
	1.94	3.74	3.96
	1.83	3.4	4
	1.9	3.84	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.71)	3.68 ↓ (3.89)	3.9 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
50.3%

Draw
25.6%

Vaduz
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.1%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vaduz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. Gallen - Vaduz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation)).

St. Gallen has a chance of relegated (31%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Vaduz has a chance of relegated (39%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Two teams are playing changeable.

St. Gallen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Gallen is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches St. Gallen won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-28.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Gallen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
21.04.21	Lugano - St. Gallen	2:0 ✺
17.04.21	St. Gallen - Luzern	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
14.04.21	Grasshoppers - St. Gallen	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.04.21	Young Boys - St. Gallen	2:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
08.04.21	St. Gallen - Young Boys	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWLW
- FC Vaduz
Swiss Super League
21.04.21	Vaduz - Basel	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Lausanne-Sport - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Vaduz - Sion	3:0 ✺
05.04.21	Basel - Vaduz	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.21	Wil 1900 - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
20.02.21	Vaduz - St. Gallen	2:1
20.01.21	St. Gallen - Vaduz	2:0
27.09.20	Vaduz - St. Gallen	0:1
Club Friendly
16.11.18	Vaduz - St. Gallen	0:3
Swiss Super League
13.05.17	St. Gallen - Vaduz	2:0
05.02.17	Vaduz - St. Gallen	1:1
16.10.16	St. Gallen - Vaduz	0:2

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