Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	St. George City		Central Coast Mariners U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.75
	1.36	4.7	6.6	Watch
	1.37	5.21	7.11
	1.38	4.95	7.09	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.31	5	7.36
	1.36	4.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)	4.87 ↑ (4.31)	6.93 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George City
67.8%

Draw
18.9%

Central Coast Mariners U23
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

21.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

20%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. George City's performance.

Central Coast Mariners U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Coast Mariners U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. George City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Coast Mariners U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Central Coast U23 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Mitry P. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Ryles H. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, McNulty M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 3 - 1, McNulty M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Mow A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).

In recent matches, St. George City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Coast U23 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Central Coast U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, St. George City is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, St. George City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.25	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Sutherland Sharks - St. George City	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	St. George City - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Marconi Stallions - St. George City	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	St. George City - St George Saints	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLL
- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
27.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Marconi Stallions - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Sydney FC U23 - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Sutherland Sharks - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
28.07.24	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St. George City	1:1
20.04.24	St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0

St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide